Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.524775 0.578765 0.636892 0.704284 0.780461 0.864122 0.963260
2025-10-12 0.442087 0.517653 0.605128 0.714560 0.848757 1.009185 1.217336
2025-10-19 0.392549 0.478160 0.582169 0.719213 0.897087 1.123001 1.436273
2025-10-26 0.356621 0.448146 0.563699 0.722468 0.938383 1.226866 1.650292
2025-11-02 0.330168 0.426039 0.551127 0.729358 0.981893 1.334923 1.880580
2025-11-09 0.300746 0.396573 0.525032 0.713685 0.990383 1.392424 2.042332
2025-11-16 0.283479 0.381629 0.516670 0.720896 1.030769 1.498631 2.289941
2025-11-23 0.264819 0.362947 0.501037 0.715318 1.050353 1.573889 2.496506
2025-11-30 0.251292 0.350343 0.492784 0.719379 1.084204 1.673955 2.756878
2025-12-07 0.235609 0.333341 0.476535 0.709311 1.093852 1.734450 2.954988
2025-12-14 0.221851 0.318190 0.461823 0.700106 1.103439 1.794922 3.160290
2025-12-21 0.205600 0.298205 0.438265 0.674565 1.082748 1.799665 3.258898
2025-12-28 0.199593 0.293747 0.438845 0.689123 1.133242 1.938889 3.647484
2026-01-04 0.193081 0.288076 0.437075 0.699528 1.177381 2.071675 4.046011
2026-01-11 0.185922 0.280878 0.432237 0.704052 1.210908 2.187616 4.427751
2026-01-18 0.179083 0.273748 0.426964 0.707225 1.241931 2.301876 4.825509
2026-01-25 0.173415 0.268175 0.423876 0.713940 1.280187 2.435205 5.292401
2026-02-01 0.164327 0.256398 0.409453 0.698664 1.273447 2.472559 5.530519
2026-02-08 0.159647 0.251780 0.407104 0.705692 1.312209 2.612992 6.058095
2026-02-15 0.153277 0.243929 0.398581 0.700256 1.324589 2.695892 6.449582
2026-02-22 0.148791 0.239083 0.395087 0.704214 1.357012 2.828555 7.005708
2026-03-01 0.142542 0.230845 0.384995 0.694401 1.358736 2.888900 7.366872
2026-03-08 0.136808 0.223245 0.375657 0.685428 1.361451 2.951942 7.749774